Narrative analysis report — The 2026 UK Labour Party leadership crisis and succession: Keir Starmer's resignation as Labour leader and Prime Minister, Andy Burnham's Makerfield by-election and leadership bid, and the reactions of party factions, unions, opposition parties, media and the public.

Snapshot snap_207de35336246401 · mode RETROSPECTIVE · sealed 17 July 2026 · segmenter spacy-3.8.14/en_core_web_lg-3.8.0/parser+clean2

Interactive edition — the grey codes (A01, C01…) open the provenance of each value: the definition of the statistic and its source documents. No sign-in required; external links open the original sources, which may have their own access conditions.

The vocabulary, defined

Six coded facets, used in one sense throughout. They are separate measurements with separate reliabilities: a figure computed on one facet never carries another facet's reliability.

frame
The value lens a sentence uses — how an issue is made to matter. Drawn ONLY from one frozen list of 15 tokens shared by every dossier (Economic, Policy, Political, Fairness, Legality, Capacity…), which is what makes frames comparable from one dossier to the next. A sentence may carry several, or none.
narrative
A named, contested story about who did what, entered in THIS dossier's registry; each narrative hangs off exactly one parent frame. Narratives are dossier-specific and are coined by the analysis; frames are not. A ranking of narratives and a ranking of frames are different measurements.
theme
The subject matter a sentence is ABOUT — emergent labels, not a controlled list. Orthogonal to frame, and never collapsed into it: two sentences can share a theme and mobilise opposite frames.
rhetoric (rhetorical device)
The device the sentence uses to say it — metaphor, hyperbole, irony, loaded diction, a coined label, and so on. HOW it is phrased, never what it claims. The inventory is on trial and may be narrowed; an empty cell is a real value.
stance
The position a sentence takes toward a NAMED narrative: it advances it, contests it, or reports it. Always narrative-scoped — one sentence can advance one narrative and contest another, which is the signal the gap is built from.
impact (field of influence)
The documented traces of transmission between actors: dated, evidence-bearing edges, the adoption of a signature phrase, and who carried a frame first. It is a record of what travelled, never a claim about what caused what — see the ladder below. Reach and audience response are not measured at all.

What the evidence can support — strongest first

Every statement about transmission sits on one of these rungs, and says which. The top rung is listed to be refused, not used.

  1. demonstrated causal (not available from this data) — X caused Y. NEVER claimable from this data: nothing here measures outcomes, audiences or counterfactuals, so this rung exists only to be refused.
  2. documented transmission — An evidenced, dated edge: this actor quoted, referenced or took up that actor's wording. The strongest thing the data supports.
  3. temporal precedence — X used it first, Y followed. That is ORDER, not influence — the first documented carrier is not “the origin”.
  4. association — Both are present in the corpus with no ordering established.
  5. inferred — A reading of the pattern, carried as a reading and marked as such.

1. Overview

328A01
documents in the corpus
from 15 April 2026 to 17 July 2026A02
corpus window
184A03
distinct sources
150A04
source domains
926A05
coded sentences
20A07
narratives in the register
0A08
crystallized narratives
20A09
candidate narratives

Coding coverage: 926A05 sentences coded across 45A06 of the corpus's 328A01 documents (coder(s): Morphos machine coder v9). Coding statistics describe this sample, never the corpus as a whole.

Coding reliability (α per facet) Per-facet Krippendorff α of the machine coder, measured against the human gold slice of this report's language — a property of the instrument, carried as disclosure. It gates nothing; a facet below the 0.80 bar is marked tentative and must not be read as settled.
FacetαReading
frame0.5716A1208tentative (below bar)
narrative0.8195A1209at or above bar
theme0.7893A1210tentative (below bar)
rhetoric0.7501A1211tentative (below bar)

Measured on the uk gold slice (60 sentences, en); coder machine_luna_v9, model gpt-5.6-luna, prompt coder-prompt-v9-20260717.

2. Frame distribution

Political / strategy417A11
Policy157A12
Economic114A13
Public sentiment113A14
External / rules84A15
Morality66A16
Fairness44A17
Security42A18
Quality of life31A19
Crime27A20
Capacity / fitness26A21
Health25A22
Legality15A23
Cultural identity6A24
Other4A25

Counted over the 926A05 coded sentences (45A06 of the corpus's 328A01 documents).

15A10 of the 15 frames are attested in the coded sample.

3. Narrative registry

NarrativeFrameStatusFirst attestationMentionsEmitters
Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrectionPolitical / strategycandidateoutside this snapshot81A26Andy Burnham
Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North)Policycandidateoutside this snapshot53A27Andy Burnham
Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can winPolitical / strategycandidateoutside this snapshot34A28Keir Starmer
Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fillsPolitical / strategycandidateoutside this snapshot33A29
Burnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early electionPolitical / strategycandidateoutside this snapshot32A30
Reform's rise forces Labour's left to make long-overdue changesPolitical / strategycandidateoutside this snapshot19A31
Burnham offers material hope: housing, cost of living, everyday lifeQuality of lifecandidateoutside this snapshot12A32
Burnham commands grassroots enthusiasm the party establishment ignoresPublic sentimentcandidateoutside this snapshot12A33
The Starmer-to-Burnham transition is cordial, orderly and non-interferingPolitical / strategycandidateoutside this snapshot10A34
Burnham will free MPs from Westminster's whip-driven culture of fearPolitical / strategycandidateoutside this snapshot8A35
Burnham is a self-serving opportunist (Starmer-camp view)Political / strategycandidateoutside this snapshot7A36
Burnham is rehabilitating his fiscal credibility with the marketsEconomiccandidateoutside this snapshot6A37Reform UK
The successor inherits the same dangerous, volatile worldSecuritycandidateoutside this snapshot5A38
The London-centric model overheats the capital and starves the regionsEconomiccandidateoutside this snapshot4A39
Labour under Starmer chose caution over the boldness voters wantedPolitical / strategycandidateoutside this snapshot4A40
Burnham avoids serious media scrutiny; his programme is untestedPolitical / strategycandidateoutside this snapshot3A41
Burnham's working-class cultural roots make him an authentic, rounded leaderCultural identitycandidateoutside this snapshot1A42
Establishment and tabloid hostility to working-class art (the V affair)Cultural identitycandidateoutside this snapshot0A43not attested in the coded sample
Burnham substitutes direct public engagement for traditional press scrutinyPublic sentimentcandidateoutside this snapshot0A44not attested in the coded sample
Mastery of language and literature is working-class self-emancipationCultural identitycandidateoutside this snapshot0A45not attested in the coded sample

Counted over the 926A05 coded sentences (45A06 of the corpus's 328A01 documents).

Opposition duels (4A46)

Burnham is a self-serving opportunist (Starmer-camp view)Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — opposition declared on both sides

Burnham substitutes direct public engagement for traditional press scrutinyBurnham avoids serious media scrutiny; his programme is untested — opposition declared on both sides

Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fillsStarmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win — opposition declared on both sides

Labour under Starmer chose caution over the boldness voters wantedStarmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win — opposition declared on both sides

4. The actor field

Source typeSources (documents)
public institutionsSir Ed Davey MP, Leader of the Liberal Democrats (2A47) · David Lammy MP, Deputy Prime Minister (1A48) · House of Commons (Order of the House, moved by Jonathan Reynolds MP) (1A49) · Jack Rankin MP (Windsor) (1A50) · Keir Starmer / Prime Minister's Office (1A51) · Keir Starmer MP, Prime Minister (1A52) · Lisa Nandy MP, Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport (1A53) · Mr Mark Francois MP (Rayleigh and Wickford) (1A54) · Mrs Kemi Badenoch MP, Leader of the Opposition (1A55) · UK Parliament (Members and Lords directory) (1A56)
political partiesEd Davey MP (Liberal Democrat Leader) (4A57) · Nigel Farage MP (Reform UK Leader) (4A58) · Conservative Party (3A59) · Compass (2A60) · Kemi Badenoch MP (Conservative Party Leader) (2A61) · Andy Burnham MP (1A62) · Ann Widdecombe (Reform UK spokesperson) (1A63) · Keir Starmer MP (Prime Minister and Leader of the Labour Party) (1A64) · Labour Party (national) (1A65) · Labour Party National Executive Committee (1A66) · Liberal Democrats (Jake Austin, PPC for Makerfield) (1A67) · Rob Kenyon (Reform UK PPC, Makerfield) (1A68) · Robert Jenrick (Reform UK Shadow Chancellor) (1A69) · Scottish National Party (1A70) · Zia Yusuf (Reform UK Shadow Home Secretary) (1A71)
unionsMaryam Eslamdoust (TSSA general secretary) (3A72) · Paul Nowak (TUC general secretary) (2A73) · Roy Rickhuss (Community Union general secretary) (2A74) · Sharon Graham (Unite general secretary) (2A75) · Andrea Egan (UNISON general secretary) (1A76) · Daniel Kebede (NEU general secretary) (1A77) · Dave Ward (CWU general secretary) and CWU conference delegates (1A78) · Eddie Dempsey (RMT general secretary) (1A79) · GMB Central Executive Council (1A80) · Linda Hobson (UNISON Labour Link committee chair) (1A81)
mediaexpress.co.uk (12A82) · theguardian.com (7A83) · dailymail.com (6A84) · oxfordmail.co.uk (5A85) · somersetcountygazette.co.uk (5A86) · halesowennews.co.uk (4A87) · heraldseries.co.uk (4A88) · independent.co.uk (4A89) · metro.co.uk (4A90) · northwichguardian.co.uk (4A91) · nwemail.co.uk (4A92) · thenational.scot (4A93) · thewestmorlandgazette.co.uk (4A94) · thisisoxfordshire.co.uk (4A95) · wimbledonguardian.co.uk (4A96) · burytimes.co.uk (3A97) · dumbartonreporter.co.uk (3A98) · echo-news.co.uk (3A99) · enfieldindependent.co.uk (3A100) · harwichandmanningtreestandard.co.uk (3A101) · labourlist.org (3A102) · lancashiretelegraph.co.uk (3A103) · lbc.co.uk (3A104) · leaderlive.co.uk (3A105) · ludlowadvertiser.co.uk (3A106) · northwalespioneer.co.uk (3A107) · sthelensstar.co.uk (3A108) · westerntelegraph.co.uk (3A109) · wirralglobe.co.uk (3A110) · yourlocalguardian.co.uk (3A111) · aol.co.uk (2A112) · barryanddistrictnews.co.uk (2A113) · basingstokegazette.co.uk (2A114) · brentwoodlive.co.uk (2A115) · chelmsfordweeklynews.co.uk (2A116) · clactonandfrintongazette.co.uk (2A117) · denbighshirefreepress.co.uk (2A118) · edp24.co.uk (2A119) · eppingforestguardian.co.uk (2A120) · falmouthpacket.co.uk (2A121) · fenlandcitizen.co.uk (2A122) · freepressseries.co.uk (2A123) · gazetteandherald.co.uk (2A124) · gazetteherald.co.uk (2A125) · gazetteseries.co.uk (2A126) · ibtimes.co.uk (2A127) · ipswichstar.co.uk (2A128) · london-now.co.uk (2A129) · londonlovesbusiness.com (2A130) · lynnnews.co.uk (2A131) · manchestereveningnews.co.uk (2A132) · mirror.co.uk (2A133) · morningstaronline.co.uk (2A134) · politico.eu (2A135) · readingchronicle.co.uk (2A136) · rutland-times.co.uk (2A137) · sloughobserver.co.uk (2A138) · southwalesargus.co.uk (2A139) · swindonadvertiser.co.uk (2A140) · theargus.co.uk (2A141) · thisiswiltshire.co.uk (2A142) · tivysideadvertiser.co.uk (2A143) · warringtonguardian.co.uk (2A144) · wiltshiretimes.co.uk (2A145) · birminghammail.co.uk (1A146) · bracknellnews.co.uk (1A147) · braintreeandwithamtimes.co.uk (1A148) · bridportnews.co.uk (1A149) · bromsgroveadvertiser.co.uk (1A150) · burnhamandhighbridgeweeklynews.co.uk (1A151) · chardandilminsternews.co.uk (1A152) · chesterstandard.co.uk (1A153) · countytimes.co.uk (1A154) · cravenherald.co.uk (1A155) · dailyecho.co.uk (1A156) · dailystar.co.uk (1A157) · darlingtonandstocktontimes.co.uk (1A158) · dissexpress.co.uk (1A159) · dorsetecho.co.uk (1A160) · eastlondonlines.co.uk (1A161) · eveningnews24.co.uk (1A162) · gazette-news.co.uk (1A163) · guardian-series.co.uk (1A164) · hamhigh.co.uk (1A165) · hillingdontimes.co.uk (1A166) · keighleynews.co.uk (1A167) · kentonline.co.uk (1A168) · kidderminstershuttle.co.uk (1A169) · kilburntimes.co.uk (1A170) · ledburyreporter.co.uk (1A171) · leicestermercury.co.uk (1A172) · liverpoolecho.co.uk (1A173) · maldonandburnhamstandard.co.uk (1A174) · malverngazette.co.uk (1A175) · messengernewspapers.co.uk (1A176) · newarkadvertiser.co.uk (1A177) · newsshopper.co.uk (1A178) · northwaleschronicle.co.uk (1A179) · penarthtimes.co.uk (1A180) · politics.co.uk (1A181) · prolificnorth.co.uk (1A182) · redditchadvertiser.co.uk (1A183) · redditchstandard.co.uk (1A184) · richmondandtwickenhamtimes.co.uk (1A185) · salisburyjournal.co.uk (1A186) · southwalesguardian.co.uk (1A187) · surreycomet.co.uk (1A188) · thenorthernecho.co.uk (1A189) · thewestonmercury.co.uk (1A190) · timesandstar.co.uk (1A191) · walesonline.co.uk (1A192) · wandsworthguardian.co.uk (1A193) · watfordobserver.co.uk (1A194) · wharfedaleobserver.co.uk (1A195) · whtimes.co.uk (1A196) · witneygazette.co.uk (1A197)
named expertsBen Worthy (2A198) · Catherine Haddon (2A199) · Aadya Bahl (1A200) · Alan Renwick (1A201) · Alan Renwick and Tom Fleming (1A202) · Colm Murphy (1A203) · Dane Luo (1A204) · Darryn Nyatanga (1A205) · Eunice Goes (1A206) · Harry Quilter-Pinner (1A207) · Jill Rutter (1A208) · Jo Michell (1A209) · Joël Reland (1A210) · Keiran Pedley, Gideon Skinner, Ben Roff, Olivia Devlin (Ipsos) (1A211) · Matthew Lloyd (1A212) · Matthew Smith, Dylan Difford (YouGov) (1A213) · Megan Bryer, Philip Nye, Tim Durrant, Ketaki Zodgekar (1A214) · Robert Hazell (1A215) · Roli Asthana (1A216) · Ruxandra Serban (1A217) · Tom Fleming (1A218) · YouGov (Dylan Difford) (1A219)
citizens (aggregated)11A220 citizen source(s) — aggregated, never named, never linked

Most active voices (emitters) in the coded sample

This ranking rests on 23A227 of the 926A05 coded sentences — those carrying a named emitter attribution (published sources only).

EmitterCoded sentences
Reform UK7A221
Downing Street6A222
Andy Burnham3A223
Keir Starmer3A224
Daily Mail2A225
Kemi Badenoch2A226

5. Corpus timeline

DateDocuments
15 April 20263A228
16 April 20261A229
17 April 20261A230
18 April 20261A231
19 April 20263A232
20 April 20261A233
21 April 20261A234
22 April 20261A235
23 April 20262A236
24 April 20261A237
25 April 20261A238
26 April 20262A239
27 April 20263A240
28 April 20261A241
29 April 20262A242
30 April 20261A243
1 May 20262A244
2 May 20261A245
3 May 20262A246
4 May 20261A247
5 May 20261A248
7 May 20263A249
8 May 20264A250
9 May 20264A251
10 May 20264A252
11 May 20265A253
12 May 20267A254
13 May 20266A255
14 May 20264A256
15 May 20265A257
16 May 20263A258
17 May 20262A259
18 May 20265A260
19 May 20266A261
20 May 20262A262
21 May 20264A263
22 May 20263A264
23 May 20264A265
24 May 20263A266
25 May 20262A267
26 May 20263A268
27 May 20265A269
28 May 20263A270
29 May 20261A271
30 May 20264A272
31 May 20261A273
1 June 20262A274
2 June 20262A275
3 June 20262A276
4 June 20265A277
5 June 20262A278
6 June 20261A279
7 June 20262A280
8 June 20262A281
9 June 20263A282
10 June 20263A283
11 June 20261A284
12 June 20263A285
13 June 20263A286
14 June 20265A287
15 June 20265A288
16 June 20266A289
17 June 20265A290
18 June 20265A291
19 June 202610A292
20 June 20262A293
22 June 202620A294
23 June 20263A295
24 June 20267A296
25 June 20264A297
26 June 20264A298
27 June 20262A299
28 June 20264A300
29 June 20268A301
30 June 20266A302
1 July 20268A303
2 July 20264A304
3 July 20263A305
4 July 20262A306
5 July 20263A307
6 July 20265A308
7 July 20265A309
8 July 20264A310
9 July 20268A311
10 July 20261A312
11 July 20261A313
12 July 20261A314
13 July 20268A315
14 July 20268A316
15 July 20265A317
16 July 20266A318
17 July 20264A319

First attestations of the narratives (date of the first carrying document):

6. The gap — stances by narrative

Partial signal: 292 sentences carrying a coded stance — an indicative reading of the sample, not exhaustive.

Narrativeadvancescontestsreports
Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection58A320 Andy Burnham3A321 20A322
Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North)41A323 Andy Burnham6A324 6A325
Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win6A326 Keir Starmer24A327 4A328
Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills24A329 3A330 6A331
Burnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election4A332 21A333 7A334
Reform's rise forces Labour's left to make long-overdue changes15A335 none4A336
Burnham offers material hope: housing, cost of living, everyday life11A337 none1A338
Burnham commands grassroots enthusiasm the party establishment ignores6A339 2A340 4A341
The Starmer-to-Burnham transition is cordial, orderly and non-interfering2A342 5A343 3A344
Burnham will free MPs from Westminster's whip-driven culture of fear6A345 1A346 1A347
Burnham is a self-serving opportunist (Starmer-camp view)7A348 nonenone
Burnham is rehabilitating his fiscal credibility with the markets2A349 3A350 Reform UK1A351
The successor inherits the same dangerous, volatile world5A352 nonenone
The London-centric model overheats the capital and starves the regions4A353 nonenone
Labour under Starmer chose caution over the boldness voters wanted4A354 nonenone
Burnham avoids serious media scrutiny; his programme is untested3A355 nonenone
Burnham's working-class cultural roots make him an authentic, rounded leader1A356 nonenone

7. Perception by group

Expression profiles by group, with attribution accounting for the coded voice: a fully quoted sentence counts for its speaker, never for the outlet reporting it; a mixed sentence counts on both sides.

By source type (anonymous aggregation)

GroupSentencesDominant framesDominant narrativesDominant rhetorical devicesSignature vocabulary
citizens (aggregated)90A358Political / strategy (45A359) · Policy (10A360) · Fairness (7A361)Burnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election (10A362) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection (7A363) · Burnham is a self-serving opportunist (Starmer-camp view) (3A364)loaded diction (20A365) · rhetorical question (5A366) · metaphor (4A367)6A368 significant term(s) : petition, this_petition, signature, you, if
named experts311A369Political / strategy (117A370) · Policy (70A371) · Public sentiment (66A372)Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North) (35A373) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection (27A374) · Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills (13A375)loaded diction (35A376) · metaphor (26A377) · antithesis (19A378)15A379 significant term(s) : members, agenda, current, of, between
media123A380Political / strategy (80A381) · Policy (17A382) · Economic (15A383)Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection (24A384) · Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills (11A385) · Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win (8A386)loaded diction (23A387) · metaphor (13A388) · antithesis (8A389)16A390 significant term(s) : mr, said, sir, sir_keir, mr_burnham
political parties178A391Political / strategy (73A392) · Economic (27A393) · Morality (26A394)Burnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election (9A395) · Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North) (7A396) · Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills (6A397)loaded diction (47A398) · metaphor (24A399) · accumulation (10A400)11A401 significant term(s) : liberal, democrat, liberal_democrat, home, reform_uk
public institutions34A402Political / strategy (13A403) · Health (8A404) · Policy (5A405)Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win (3A406) · Burnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election (2A407)loaded diction (6A408) · accumulation (4A409) · metaphor (2A410)0A411 no significant term (sample too thin)
unions54A412Political / strategy (24A413) · Economic (13A414) · Policy (13A415)Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection (10A416) · Burnham offers material hope: housing, cost of living, everyday life (4A417) · Reform's rise forces Labour's left to make long-overdue changes (3A418)loaded diction (18A419) · metaphor (6A420) · accumulation (5A421)5A422 significant term(s) : general_secretary, union, and, deliver, growth

By named speaker / emitter — published sources only, density threshold 5 sentences

GroupSentencesDominant framesDominant narrativesDominant rhetorical devicesSignature vocabulary
Andy Burnham21A423Policy (8A424) · Political / strategy (8A425) · External / rules (4A426)Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North) (7A427) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection (4A428) · Burnham offers material hope: housing, cost of living, everyday life (1A429)loaded diction (5A430) · metaphor (3A431) · accumulation (1A432)0A433 no significant term (sample too thin)
Downing Street5A434Political / strategy (2A435) · External / rules (1A436) · Health (1A437)0A438 no significant term (sample too thin)
Keir Starmer8A439Political / strategy (4A440) · Health (2A441) · Policy (1A442)Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills (1A443) · Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win (1A444)antithesis (1A445) · loaded diction (1A446)0A447 no significant term (sample too thin)
Reform UK7A448Economic (3A449) · Policy (3A450) · Crime (2A451)Burnham is rehabilitating his fiscal credibility with the markets (1A452)accumulation (2A453) · antithesis (2A454) · loaded diction (2A455)0A456 no significant term (sample too thin)

Below the density threshold (visible, not profiled): Daily Mail (2A457) · Kemi Badenoch (2A458) · Labour Party (1A459)

Quoted sentences with no identified speaker: 182A460. Quoted sentences whose named attribution is withheld by the privacy rail: 0A461.

Sentence-grained attribution: a mixed-voice sentence counts on both sides, so a speaker's profile inherits some of the author's framing words and the outlet's profile inherits quoted fragments. Deterministic extraction of quoted spans is future work (span coding).

Perception gap — decomposed by facet, never aggregated

named expertspublic institutions

total gap (TV) across frames : 0.4671A462 — Health (0A463 / 8A464) · Public sentiment (66A465 / 0A466) · External / rules (62A467 / 0A468)

total gap (TV) across narratives : 0.8640A469 — Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win (12A470 / 3A471) · Burnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election (5A472 / 2A473) · Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North) (35A474 / 0A475)

Keir StarmerReform UK

total gap (TV) across frames : 0.8571A476 — Political / strategy (4A477 / 0A478) · Economic (0A479 / 3A480) · Health (2A481 / 0A482)

total gap (TV) across narratives : 1.0000A483 — Burnham is rehabilitating his fiscal credibility with the markets (0A484 / 1A485) · Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills (1A486 / 0A487) · Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win (1A488 / 0A489)

8. Field of influence

Typed, dated edges between actors and narratives, phrase-adoption chains, and decomposed impact profiles. Evidence discipline, per the transmission ladder above: temporal precedence documents ORDER, never influence and never causality — the first documented carrier is not “the origin”, and no probability of causality is computed.

Reaction chain — dated, evidence-bearing edges

DateDocumentQuotes (named speakers)References (named entities)Stances
18 April 20261A596 Keir Starmer3A597 Downing Street, Keir Starmer, Reform UKStarmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills — advances (2A598) · Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win — contests (1A599)
21 April 20260A721 4A722 Keir Starmer, Labour Party, United Kingdom / Britain, UK ParliamentStarmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills — advances (1A723) · Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills — reports (2A724)
1 May 20260A550 6A551 Andy Burnham, Keir Starmer, Labour Party, Manchester, Reform UK, UK ParliamentBurnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (4A552) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — reports (5A553) · Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills — contests (1A554) · Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills — reports (3A555)
4 May 20260A634 6A635 Andy Burnham, Keir Starmer, Labour Party, United Kingdom / Britain, UK Parliament, UK public / votersBurnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — reports (1A636) · The Starmer-to-Burnham transition is cordial, orderly and non-interfering — contests (1A637) · Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills — advances (1A638)
7 May 20261A522 Keir Starmer7A523 Andy Burnham, Keir Starmer, Labour Party, London / Londoners, Reform UK, United Kingdom / Britain, UK public / votersBurnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (3A524) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — reports (1A525) · The Starmer-to-Burnham transition is cordial, orderly and non-interfering — advances (1A526) · The Starmer-to-Burnham transition is cordial, orderly and non-interfering — contests (2A527) · The Starmer-to-Burnham transition is cordial, orderly and non-interfering — reports (2A528) · The successor inherits the same dangerous, volatile world — advances (1A529) · Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills — advances (5A530) · Reform's rise forces Labour's left to make long-overdue changes — advances (3A531) · Reform's rise forces Labour's left to make long-overdue changes — reports (1A532) · Labour under Starmer chose caution over the boldness voters wanted — advances (1A533) · Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win — contests (4A534)
11 May 20261A642 Andy Burnham5A643 Keir Starmer, Labour Party, Reform UK, United Kingdom / Britain, UK public / votersReform's rise forces Labour's left to make long-overdue changes — reports (2A644)
12 May 20260A546 5A547 Keir Starmer, Labour Party, United Kingdom / Britain, UK Parliament, UK public / votersStarmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills — advances (2A548) · Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win — contests (1A549)
12 May 20260A600 3A601 Keir Starmer, Labour Party, UK public / votersStarmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills — advances (6A602) · Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win — contests (3A603)
14 May 20261A717 Keir Starmer5A718 Andy Burnham, Labour Party, NHS, United Kingdom / Britain, UK public / votersBurnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election — advances (1A719) · Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win — advances (3A720)
17 May 20260A713 5A714 Downing Street, Keir Starmer, Labour Party, United Kingdom / Britain, UK public / votersStarmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win — advances (1A715) · Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win — contests (1A716)
18 May 20261A651 Keir Starmer8A652 Andy Burnham, Downing Street, Josh Simons, Keir Starmer, Labour Party, Rachel Reeves, UK Parliament, UK public / votersBurnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (8A653) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — reports (3A654) · Burnham commands grassroots enthusiasm the party establishment ignores — advances (4A655) · Burnham commands grassroots enthusiasm the party establishment ignores — reports (3A656) · Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills — advances (5A657) · Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills — contests (2A658) · Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills — reports (1A659) · Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win — contests (5A660) · Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win — reports (3A661)
18 May 20261A670 Andy Burnham7A671 Andy Burnham, Downing Street, Keir Starmer, Labour Party, United Kingdom / Britain, UK Parliament, UK public / votersBurnham offers material hope: housing, cost of living, everyday life — advances (1A672) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (4A673) · Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fills — advances (1A674) · Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North) — advances (3A675) · Labour under Starmer chose caution over the boldness voters wanted — advances (1A676) · Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win — contests (1A677)
19 May 20260A511 2A512 Josh Simons, UK ParliamentBurnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election — reports (1A513)
22 May 20260A582 3A583 Andy Burnham, Labour Party, UK public / votersBurnham is a self-serving opportunist (Starmer-camp view) — advances (1A584)
29 May 20262A556 Andy Burnham, Labour Party8A557 Andy Burnham, Downing Street, Keir Starmer, Labour Party, Manchester, United Kingdom / Britain, UK Parliament, UK public / votersBurnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (2A558) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — reports (2A559) · Burnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election — advances (3A560) · Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North) — advances (7A561) · Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North) — reports (4A562) · Burnham will free MPs from Westminster's whip-driven culture of fear — advances (6A563) · Burnham will free MPs from Westminster's whip-driven culture of fear — contests (1A564) · Burnham will free MPs from Westminster's whip-driven culture of fear — reports (1A565)
30 May 20261A585 Keir Starmer2A586 United Kingdom / Britain, UK public / voters
1 June 20260A573 7A574 Andy Burnham, Daily Mail, Keir Starmer, Manchester, Reform UK, United Kingdom / Britain, UK public / votersBurnham is a self-serving opportunist (Starmer-camp view) — advances (1A575) · Burnham commands grassroots enthusiasm the party establishment ignores — contests (1A576) · Burnham avoids serious media scrutiny; his programme is untested — advances (1A577) · Labour under Starmer chose caution over the boldness voters wanted — advances (1A578)
7 June 20260A571 2A572 Keir Starmer, United Kingdom / Britain
10 June 20260A623 4A624 Andy Burnham, Keir Starmer, Labour Party, Reform UKBurnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (1A625) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — reports (1A626) · Reform's rise forces Labour's left to make long-overdue changes — advances (1A627) · Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win — reports (1A628)
10 June 20260A701 4A702 Andy Burnham, Labour Party, UK Parliament, UK public / votersBurnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (2A703) · Burnham commands grassroots enthusiasm the party establishment ignores — advances (1A704)
18 June 20260A696 4A697 Andy Burnham, Labour Party, Reform UK, UK public / votersBurnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (3A698) · Reform's rise forces Labour's left to make long-overdue changes — advances (1A699) · Reform's rise forces Labour's left to make long-overdue changes — reports (1A700)
18 June 20260A711 3A712 Andy Burnham, Labour Party, Reform UK
19 June 20260A566 4A567 Downing Street, Kemi Badenoch, United Kingdom / Britain, UK public / voters
19 June 20260A607 2A608 Andy Burnham, Labour PartyBurnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (2A609)
19 June 20260A662 5A663 Andy Burnham, Keir Starmer, Labour Party, United Kingdom / Britain, UK public / votersBurnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (2A664) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — contests (1A665) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — reports (3A666) · The Starmer-to-Burnham transition is cordial, orderly and non-interfering — contests (1A667) · Burnham commands grassroots enthusiasm the party establishment ignores — advances (1A668) · Burnham commands grassroots enthusiasm the party establishment ignores — reports (1A669)
22 June 20260A568 2A569 Keir Starmer, United Kingdom / BritainThe Starmer-to-Burnham transition is cordial, orderly and non-interfering — contests (1A570)
22 June 20260A617 3A618 Keir Starmer, Labour Party, United Kingdom / BritainLabour under Starmer chose caution over the boldness voters wanted — advances (1A619)
22 June 20260A620 3A621 Keir Starmer, UK Parliament, UK public / votersBurnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election — contests (5A622)
24 June 20260A615 2A616 UK Parliament, UK public / voters
26 June 20260A592 6A593 Andy Burnham, Keir Starmer, Labour Party, United Kingdom / Britain, UK Parliament, UK public / votersBurnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (1A594) · Burnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election — reports (2A595)
26 June 20260A678 3A679 Andy Burnham, Keir Starmer, United Kingdom / BritainBurnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election — contests (2A680)
29 June 20260A587 5A588 Downing Street, Labour Party, London / Londoners, United Kingdom / Britain, UK ParliamentBurnham is rehabilitating his fiscal credibility with the markets — advances (1A589) · The London-centric model overheats the capital and starves the regions — advances (1A590) · Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North) — advances (1A591)
29 June 20260A639 2A640 Andy Burnham, UK public / votersBurnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North) — advances (1A641)
1 July 20260A604 6A605 Downing Street, Keir Starmer, Labour Party, United Kingdom / Britain, UK Parliament, UK public / votersBurnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election — contests (4A606)
1 July 20260A685 10A686 Andy Burnham, Downing Street, Keir Starmer, Kemi Badenoch, Labour Party, London / Londoners, Rachel Reeves, Reform UK, United Kingdom / Britain, UK public / votersBurnham is a self-serving opportunist (Starmer-camp view) — advances (1A687) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (2A688) · Burnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election — contests (4A689) · Burnham is rehabilitating his fiscal credibility with the markets — contests (1A690) · Burnham avoids serious media scrutiny; his programme is untested — advances (2A691) · The London-centric model overheats the capital and starves the regions — advances (1A692) · Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North) — advances (1A693) · Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North) — contests (2A694) · Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win — contests (1A695)
2 July 20261A579 Andy Burnham3A580 Andy Burnham, Keir Starmer, United Kingdom / BritainStarmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win — contests (3A581)
6 July 20260A645 6A646 Andy Burnham, London / Londoners, Manchester, United Kingdom / Britain, UK Parliament, UK public / votersBurnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (1A647) · The London-centric model overheats the capital and starves the regions — advances (1A648) · Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North) — advances (20A649) · Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North) — reports (1A650)
7 July 20260A629 4A630 Andy Burnham, Keir Starmer, Labour Party, United Kingdom / BritainBurnham offers material hope: housing, cost of living, everyday life — reports (1A631) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — reports (1A632) · Burnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election — reports (1A633)
9 July 20260A535 4A536 Andy Burnham, Manchester, United Kingdom / Britain, UK public / votersBurnham commands grassroots enthusiasm the party establishment ignores — contests (1A537) · Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North) — advances (1A538) · Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North) — contests (3A539)
9 July 20260A705 5A706 Andy Burnham, Labour Party, Reform UK, United Kingdom / Britain, UK public / votersBurnham offers material hope: housing, cost of living, everyday life — advances (4A707) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (2A708) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — reports (1A709) · Reform's rise forces Labour's left to make long-overdue changes — advances (1A710)
13 July 20260A514 5A515 Andy Burnham, Keir Starmer, Labour Party, UK Parliament, UK public / votersBurnham is a self-serving opportunist (Starmer-camp view) — advances (3A516) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (6A517) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — contests (1A518) · Burnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election — contests (1A519) · The Starmer-to-Burnham transition is cordial, orderly and non-interfering — reports (1A520) · The successor inherits the same dangerous, volatile world — advances (1A521)
13 July 20260A540 7A541 Andy Burnham, Downing Street, Labour Party, Rachel Reeves, Reform UK, United Kingdom / Britain, UK public / votersBurnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — reports (1A542) · Burnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election — contests (3A543) · Burnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early election — reports (2A544) · Burnham is rehabilitating his fiscal credibility with the markets — contests (2A545)
13 July 20260A610 3A611 Andy Burnham, Keir Starmer, Labour PartyBurnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (4A612) · Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — reports (1A613) · The Starmer-to-Burnham transition is cordial, orderly and non-interfering — advances (1A614)
13 July 20261A681 Andy Burnham6A682 Andy Burnham, Keir Starmer, Labour Party, London / Londoners, Rachel Reeves, United Kingdom / BritainThe successor inherits the same dangerous, volatile world — advances (1A683) · Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North) — advances (2A684)
15 July 20260A725 5A726 Andy Burnham, Keir Starmer, Labour Party, Reform UK, UK public / votersBurnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrection — advances (5A727) · Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can win — contests (1A728)

Phrase adoption

18A490 phrase(s) traced — inventory drawn from the 926A05 coded sentences, tracing across the 10061A491 sentences of the corpus's full text. On a sparse sample, this section attests the machinery, not an exhaustive analysis.

“general_secretary”
first documented carrier : 16 April 2026 — media
20A493 adopter(s) (+1 d) (+22 d) (+22 d) (+24 d) (+25 d) (+29 d) (+64 d) (+64 d) (+67 d) (+67 d) (+67 d) (+67 d) (+74 d) (+74 d) (+83 d) (+84 d) (+84 d) (+89 d) (+90 d) (+91 d)
“he_said”
first documented carrier : 16 April 2026 — media
125A494 adopter(s) (+2 d) (+4 d) (+5 d) (+6 d) (+8 d) (+9 d) (+10 d) (+11 d) (+11 d) (+12 d) (+13 d) (+14 d) (+18 d) (+19 d) (+21 d) (+22 d) (+22 d) (+22 d) (+23 d) (+23 d) (+23 d) (+23 d) (+24 d) (+25 d) (+25 d) (+25 d) (+25 d) (+26 d) (+27 d) (+27 d) (+29 d) (+29 d) (+31 d) (+31 d) (+32 d) (+32 d) (+32 d) (+33 d) (+33 d) (+35 d) (+37 d) (+37 d) (+37 d) (+38 d) (+38 d) (+39 d) (+40 d) (+40 d) (+41 d) (+41 d) (+42 d) (+44 d) (+44 d) (+44 d) (+45 d) (+46 d) (+47 d) (+47 d) (+48 d) (+49 d) (+49 d) (+50 d) (+51 d) (+52 d) (+53 d) (+54 d) (+56 d) (+57 d) (+58 d) (+58 d) (+60 d) (+60 d) (+60 d) (+61 d) (+61 d) (+62 d) (+62 d) (+63 d) (+64 d) (+64 d) (+64 d) (+64 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+67 d) (+67 d) (+67 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+69 d) (+69 d) (+71 d) (+71 d) (+72 d) (+73 d) (+73 d) (+74 d) (+74 d) (+74 d) (+75 d) (+75 d) (+75 d) (+76 d) (+76 d) (+76 d) (+78 d) (+78 d) (+78 d) (+80 d) (+80 d) (+82 d) (+82 d) (+82 d) (+83 d) (+83 d) (+83 d) (+84 d) (+84 d) (+84 d) (+84 d) (+87 d) (+90 d) (+90 d) (+91 d) (+92 d)
“in_greater”
first documented carrier : 8 May 2026 — media
co-dated first attestations:
13A495 adopter(s) (+7 d) (+9 d) (+14 d) (+14 d) (+15 d) (+20 d) (+24 d) (+33 d) (+36 d) (+50 d) (+52 d) (+52 d) (+59 d)
“in_scotland”
first documented carrier : 19 April 2026 — media
27A496 adopter(s) (+1 d) (+2 d) (+4 d) (+7 d) (+14 d) (+15 d) (+18 d) (+18 d) (+19 d) (+19 d) (+20 d) (+21 d) (+21 d) (+21 d) (+23 d) (+25 d) (+28 d) (+29 d) (+41 d) (+61 d) (+64 d) (+71 d) (+71 d) (+73 d) (+77 d) (+82 d) (+89 d)
“leadership_election”
first documented carrier : 3 May 2026 — media
15A497 adopter(s) (+4 d) (+5 d) (+5 d) (+6 d) (+6 d) (+12 d) (+16 d) (+17 d) (+20 d) (+40 d) (+47 d) (+47 d) (+50 d) (+54 d) (+67 d)
“liberal_democrat”
first documented carrier : 16 April 2026 — media
19A498 adopter(s) (+1 d) (+3 d) (+11 d) (+11 d) (+21 d) (+36 d) (+53 d) (+59 d) (+63 d) (+63 d) (+67 d) (+67 d) (+67 d) (+74 d) (+75 d) (+84 d) (+88 d) (+91 d) (+91 d)
“mr_burnham”
first documented carrier : 1 May 2026 — media
81A499 adopter(s) (+9 d) (+14 d) (+14 d) (+15 d) (+16 d) (+17 d) (+17 d) (+17 d) (+18 d) (+18 d) (+20 d) (+21 d) (+22 d) (+22 d) (+23 d) (+23 d) (+24 d) (+26 d) (+26 d) (+26 d) (+27 d) (+29 d) (+29 d) (+35 d) (+40 d) (+42 d) (+44 d) (+47 d) (+48 d) (+49 d) (+49 d) (+49 d) (+49 d) (+50 d) (+52 d) (+52 d) (+53 d) (+53 d) (+54 d) (+55 d) (+55 d) (+56 d) (+57 d) (+58 d) (+58 d) (+58 d) (+59 d) (+59 d) (+59 d) (+60 d) (+61 d) (+61 d) (+61 d) (+61 d) (+62 d) (+63 d) (+63 d) (+64 d) (+64 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+66 d) (+69 d) (+69 d) (+69 d) (+71 d) (+72 d) (+73 d) (+73 d) (+73 d) (+74 d) (+74 d) (+74 d) (+75 d) (+75 d) (+75 d) (+76 d) (+77 d) (+77 d) (+77 d)
“of_the”
first documented carrier : 15 April 2026 — media
co-dated first attestations:
289A500 adopter(s) (+1 d) (+2 d) (+3 d) (+4 d) (+4 d) (+4 d) (+7 d) (+8 d) (+8 d) (+9 d) (+10 d) (+11 d) (+11 d) (+12 d) (+12 d) (+12 d) (+13 d) (+14 d) (+14 d) (+15 d) (+16 d) (+17 d) (+18 d) (+18 d) (+19 d) (+20 d) (+22 d) (+22 d) (+22 d) (+23 d) (+23 d) (+23 d) (+23 d) (+24 d) (+24 d) (+24 d) (+24 d) (+25 d) (+25 d) (+25 d) (+25 d) (+26 d) (+26 d) (+26 d) (+26 d) (+27 d) (+27 d) (+27 d) (+27 d) (+27 d) (+27 d) (+28 d) (+28 d) (+28 d) (+28 d) (+28 d) (+29 d) (+29 d) (+30 d) (+30 d) (+30 d) (+31 d) (+31 d) (+31 d) (+32 d) (+32 d) (+33 d) (+33 d) (+33 d) (+33 d) (+33 d) (+34 d) (+34 d) (+34 d) (+34 d) (+34 d) (+35 d) (+35 d) (+36 d) (+36 d) (+36 d) (+36 d) (+37 d) (+37 d) (+38 d) (+38 d) (+38 d) (+38 d) (+39 d) (+39 d) (+39 d) (+40 d) (+40 d) (+41 d) (+41 d) (+42 d) (+42 d) (+42 d) (+42 d) (+42 d) (+43 d) (+43 d) (+43 d) (+44 d) (+45 d) (+45 d) (+45 d) (+47 d) (+48 d) (+48 d) (+49 d) (+49 d) (+50 d) (+50 d) (+50 d) (+51 d) (+51 d) (+52 d) (+53 d) (+53 d) (+54 d) (+54 d) (+55 d) (+55 d) (+56 d) (+56 d) (+57 d) (+58 d) (+58 d) (+58 d) (+59 d) (+59 d) (+59 d) (+60 d) (+60 d) (+60 d) (+60 d) (+60 d) (+61 d) (+61 d) (+61 d) (+61 d) (+62 d) (+62 d) (+62 d) (+62 d) (+62 d) (+62 d) (+63 d) (+63 d) (+63 d) (+63 d) (+63 d) (+64 d) (+64 d) (+64 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+66 d) (+66 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+69 d) (+69 d) (+69 d) (+70 d) (+70 d) (+70 d) (+70 d) (+70 d) (+70 d) (+70 d) (+71 d) (+71 d) (+71 d) (+72 d) (+72 d) (+73 d) (+73 d) (+74 d) (+74 d) (+74 d) (+74 d) (+75 d) (+75 d) (+75 d) (+75 d) (+75 d) (+75 d) (+75 d) (+75 d) (+76 d) (+76 d) (+76 d) (+76 d) (+76 d) (+76 d) (+77 d) (+77 d) (+77 d) (+77 d) (+77 d) (+77 d) (+77 d) (+78 d) (+78 d) (+78 d) (+79 d) (+79 d) (+80 d) (+80 d) (+81 d) (+81 d) (+81 d) (+82 d) (+82 d) (+82 d) (+82 d) (+82 d) (+83 d) (+83 d) (+83 d) (+83 d) (+83 d) (+84 d) (+84 d) (+84 d) (+84 d) (+85 d) (+85 d) (+85 d) (+85 d) (+85 d) (+85 d) (+85 d) (+85 d) (+86 d) (+87 d) (+88 d) (+89 d) (+89 d) (+89 d) (+89 d) (+89 d) (+89 d) (+90 d) (+90 d) (+90 d) (+90 d) (+90 d) (+90 d) (+90 d) (+90 d) (+91 d) (+91 d) (+91 d) (+91 d) (+91 d) (+92 d) (+92 d) (+92 d) (+92 d) (+92 d) (+92 d) (+93 d) (+93 d) (+93 d) (+93 d)
“reform_uk”
first documented carrier : 16 April 2026 — media
74A501 adopter(s) (+1 d) (+7 d) (+11 d) (+11 d) (+11 d) (+21 d) (+21 d) (+22 d) (+22 d) (+22 d) (+23 d) (+23 d) (+23 d) (+24 d) (+24 d) (+24 d) (+25 d) (+25 d) (+29 d) (+29 d) (+30 d) (+31 d) (+32 d) (+33 d) (+34 d) (+34 d) (+35 d) (+36 d) (+36 d) (+37 d) (+38 d) (+39 d) (+41 d) (+41 d) (+41 d) (+46 d) (+47 d) (+49 d) (+49 d) (+49 d) (+51 d) (+54 d) (+55 d) (+57 d) (+58 d) (+59 d) (+61 d) (+62 d) (+63 d) (+63 d) (+64 d) (+64 d) (+65 d) (+67 d) (+67 d) (+68 d) (+69 d) (+74 d) (+76 d) (+76 d) (+77 d) (+79 d) (+81 d) (+82 d) (+82 d) (+82 d) (+83 d) (+83 d) (+84 d) (+84 d) (+88 d) (+90 d) (+91 d) (+92 d)
“said_he”
first documented carrier : 15 April 2026 — media
105A502 adopter(s) (+2 d) (+3 d) (+4 d) (+4 d) (+5 d) (+7 d) (+8 d) (+9 d) (+10 d) (+11 d) (+12 d) (+12 d) (+13 d) (+16 d) (+20 d) (+23 d) (+24 d) (+24 d) (+24 d) (+25 d) (+26 d) (+26 d) (+27 d) (+27 d) (+27 d) (+28 d) (+28 d) (+30 d) (+32 d) (+32 d) (+33 d) (+33 d) (+33 d) (+34 d) (+34 d) (+35 d) (+37 d) (+39 d) (+40 d) (+41 d) (+41 d) (+42 d) (+42 d) (+43 d) (+45 d) (+46 d) (+47 d) (+49 d) (+50 d) (+50 d) (+50 d) (+51 d) (+55 d) (+55 d) (+56 d) (+57 d) (+59 d) (+60 d) (+61 d) (+62 d) (+63 d) (+64 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+66 d) (+66 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+69 d) (+70 d) (+71 d) (+73 d) (+75 d) (+76 d) (+76 d) (+76 d) (+77 d) (+77 d) (+77 d) (+78 d) (+78 d) (+79 d) (+79 d) (+79 d) (+80 d) (+81 d) (+83 d) (+83 d) (+84 d) (+85 d) (+85 d) (+85 d) (+85 d) (+88 d) (+90 d) (+90 d) (+91 d) (+91 d) (+91 d) (+91 d) (+92 d) (+92 d) (+93 d)
“sir_keir”
first documented carrier : 15 April 2026 — media
co-dated first attestations:
190A503 adopter(s) (+1 d) (+2 d) (+3 d) (+4 d) (+4 d) (+4 d) (+5 d) (+6 d) (+7 d) (+8 d) (+9 d) (+10 d) (+11 d) (+11 d) (+12 d) (+12 d) (+12 d) (+13 d) (+14 d) (+15 d) (+16 d) (+16 d) (+17 d) (+18 d) (+18 d) (+19 d) (+20 d) (+22 d) (+23 d) (+23 d) (+23 d) (+24 d) (+24 d) (+24 d) (+24 d) (+25 d) (+25 d) (+26 d) (+26 d) (+27 d) (+27 d) (+27 d) (+28 d) (+28 d) (+28 d) (+28 d) (+29 d) (+29 d) (+30 d) (+30 d) (+30 d) (+30 d) (+31 d) (+32 d) (+32 d) (+33 d) (+33 d) (+33 d) (+33 d) (+34 d) (+34 d) (+36 d) (+36 d) (+36 d) (+37 d) (+38 d) (+38 d) (+39 d) (+39 d) (+40 d) (+40 d) (+41 d) (+41 d) (+41 d) (+42 d) (+42 d) (+42 d) (+43 d) (+45 d) (+45 d) (+46 d) (+48 d) (+48 d) (+49 d) (+49 d) (+50 d) (+50 d) (+50 d) (+50 d) (+51 d) (+51 d) (+53 d) (+53 d) (+54 d) (+54 d) (+55 d) (+55 d) (+55 d) (+56 d) (+56 d) (+57 d) (+58 d) (+58 d) (+59 d) (+60 d) (+60 d) (+60 d) (+60 d) (+61 d) (+61 d) (+61 d) (+61 d) (+61 d) (+62 d) (+62 d) (+62 d) (+62 d) (+63 d) (+63 d) (+63 d) (+63 d) (+64 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+66 d) (+66 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+69 d) (+69 d) (+70 d) (+70 d) (+70 d) (+71 d) (+71 d) (+72 d) (+72 d) (+74 d) (+74 d) (+75 d) (+75 d) (+76 d) (+76 d) (+76 d) (+77 d) (+77 d) (+77 d) (+77 d) (+77 d) (+78 d) (+79 d) (+79 d) (+80 d) (+80 d) (+81 d) (+81 d) (+81 d) (+82 d) (+83 d) (+83 d) (+83 d) (+83 d) (+84 d) (+84 d) (+84 d) (+85 d) (+85 d) (+85 d) (+87 d) (+88 d) (+89 d) (+89 d) (+89 d) (+90 d) (+90 d) (+90 d) (+91 d) (+91 d) (+91 d) (+92 d) (+92 d) (+92 d) (+93 d) (+93 d) (+93 d)
“the_current”
first documented carrier : 24 April 2026 — media
39A504 adopter(s) (+16 d) (+17 d) (+17 d) (+18 d) (+21 d) (+24 d) (+27 d) (+28 d) (+29 d) (+32 d) (+35 d) (+40 d) (+44 d) (+50 d) (+56 d) (+56 d) (+59 d) (+59 d) (+59 d) (+63 d) (+64 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+66 d) (+66 d) (+67 d) (+67 d) (+67 d) (+67 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+73 d) (+74 d) (+76 d) (+77 d) (+81 d) (+82 d) (+84 d)
“the_prime”
first documented carrier : 15 April 2026 — media
co-dated first attestations:
149A505 adopter(s) (+1 d) (+2 d) (+3 d) (+4 d) (+4 d) (+4 d) (+5 d) (+6 d) (+7 d) (+8 d) (+8 d) (+9 d) (+10 d) (+11 d) (+12 d) (+12 d) (+12 d) (+13 d) (+14 d) (+14 d) (+15 d) (+16 d) (+17 d) (+18 d) (+18 d) (+19 d) (+22 d) (+23 d) (+23 d) (+23 d) (+24 d) (+24 d) (+25 d) (+25 d) (+26 d) (+26 d) (+27 d) (+27 d) (+27 d) (+27 d) (+28 d) (+28 d) (+28 d) (+28 d) (+29 d) (+29 d) (+30 d) (+30 d) (+31 d) (+31 d) (+32 d) (+32 d) (+33 d) (+33 d) (+34 d) (+34 d) (+34 d) (+35 d) (+35 d) (+36 d) (+36 d) (+38 d) (+38 d) (+39 d) (+39 d) (+40 d) (+41 d) (+41 d) (+41 d) (+42 d) (+48 d) (+48 d) (+49 d) (+49 d) (+50 d) (+50 d) (+50 d) (+50 d) (+51 d) (+51 d) (+54 d) (+54 d) (+55 d) (+56 d) (+57 d) (+58 d) (+58 d) (+58 d) (+60 d) (+60 d) (+60 d) (+61 d) (+61 d) (+62 d) (+62 d) (+62 d) (+63 d) (+63 d) (+63 d) (+64 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+65 d) (+66 d) (+66 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+68 d) (+69 d) (+70 d) (+70 d) (+70 d) (+70 d) (+71 d) (+72 d) (+72 d) (+74 d) (+75 d) (+75 d) (+76 d) (+76 d) (+76 d) (+77 d) (+77 d) (+77 d) (+79 d) (+80 d) (+81 d) (+82 d) (+84 d) (+84 d) (+84 d) (+85 d) (+85 d) (+85 d) (+85 d) (+88 d) (+90 d) (+90 d) (+91 d) (+91 d) (+92 d) (+92 d) (+92 d)
“avanti andy is heading for signal failure”
first documented carrier : 9 July 2026 — political parties
0A506 adopter(s) no documented adopter
“coalition of the willing”
first documented carrier : 7 June 2026 — media
co-dated first attestations:
3A507 adopter(s) (+30 d) (+36 d) (+39 d)
“mid-term blues”
first documented carrier : 7 May 2026 — named experts
0A508 adopter(s) no documented adopter
phrase withheld (unpublished source) — masked:321bb72fc0e2
first documented carrier : 12 May 2026 — citizens (aggregated)
3A509 adopter(s) (+41 d) (+41 d) (+50 d)
phrase withheld (unpublished source) — masked:81d51c2f22db
first documented carrier : 27 May 2026 — citizens (aggregated)
1A510 adopter(s) (+47 d)

Coined-label phrases with no traceable segment: 15A492.

Narrative diffusion — crystallization input counts

NarrativeStatusCarrying documentsCarrying sentencesk/m thresholds
Burnham's working-class cultural roots make him an authentic, rounded leadercandidate1A7291A42not calibrated
Burnham offers material hope: housing, cost of living, everyday lifecandidate6A73012A32not calibrated
Burnham is a self-serving opportunist (Starmer-camp view)candidate5A7317A36not calibrated
Burnham's comeback is a long-awaited political resurrectioncandidate21A73281A26not calibrated
Establishment and tabloid hostility to working-class art (the V affair)candidate0A7330A43not calibrated
Burnham governs on the 2024 manifesto; no early electioncandidate12A73432A30not calibrated
The Starmer-to-Burnham transition is cordial, orderly and non-interferingcandidate6A73510A34not calibrated
Burnham substitutes direct public engagement for traditional press scrutinycandidate0A7360A44not calibrated
Burnham is rehabilitating his fiscal credibility with the marketscandidate3A7376A37not calibrated
Burnham commands grassroots enthusiasm the party establishment ignorescandidate5A73812A33not calibrated
Burnham avoids serious media scrutiny; his programme is untestedcandidate2A7393A41not calibrated
The successor inherits the same dangerous, volatile worldcandidate4A7405A38not calibrated
Starmer is embattled and distracted, leaving a vacuum Burnham fillscandidate9A74133A29not calibrated
Reform's rise forces Labour's left to make long-overdue changescandidate7A74219A31not calibrated
Mastery of language and literature is working-class self-emancipationcandidate0A7430A45not calibrated
The London-centric model overheats the capital and starves the regionscandidate3A7444A39not calibrated
Burnham will rewire the British state around the regions (Number 10 North)candidate8A74553A27not calibrated
Labour under Starmer chose caution over the boldness voters wantedcandidate4A7464A40not calibrated
Starmer saved Labour and hands over a platform that can wincandidate14A74734A28not calibrated
Burnham will free MPs from Westminster's whip-driven culture of fearcandidate1A7488A35not calibrated

Pioneer rank: heuristic adapted from meme tracking — peak usage of the unit, lead in days over the peak (threshold 2 d), rising usage after the document; median lag per group stored decomposed.

Impact profiles (decomposed, never aggregated)

Reach and received authority at document level: not computable on these inputs (no diffusion data, no citation graph) — structured NA fields, never invented zeros. The two halves of authority are never summed.

229A749 document(s) carrying a computable signal.

DocumentDatePhrases emitted then adoptedPioneer rank
19 May 20260A75096A751
19 June 20260A75271A753
11 May 20260A75449A755
29 June 20260A756194A757
7 July 20260A758226A759
12 May 20260A76050A761
19 April 20260A762150A763
16 June 20260A764209A765
7 May 20260A7662A767
23 April 20260A76885A769
25 May 20260A770105A771
14 May 20260A772161A773
28 June 20260A774191A775
5 July 20260A776218A777
24 June 20260A778182A779
21 May 20260A78026A781
17 June 20260A782213A783
12 May 20261A78434A785
27 May 20260A786103A787
21 May 20260A788169A789
19 June 20260A790139A791
1 May 20261A79230A793
7 May 20260A794156A795
25 May 20260A79647A797
11 May 20260A79854A799
23 June 20260A800181A801
2 July 20260A802127A803
15 June 20260A804219A805
30 May 20260A806106A807
30 April 20260A80845A809
9 May 20260A81013A811
14 June 20260A812202A813
6 June 20260A814116A815
31 May 20260A816107A817
29 May 20260A81858A819
15 June 20260A82082A821
13 May 20260A822158A823
23 April 20260A824114A825
29 June 20260A826195A827
24 June 20260A828183A829
19 June 20260A830223A831
30 June 20260A832198A833
22 June 20260A834109A835
22 May 20260A83699A837
21 May 20260A838170A839
9 May 20260A84014A841
15 June 20260A842137A843
8 May 20260A8446A845
7 June 20261A846184A847
15 May 20260A84818A849
1 June 20260A850100A851
26 April 20260A85239A853
30 May 20260A85468A855
3 July 20260A856129A857
1 June 20260A85869A859
2 July 20260A860206A861
23 May 20260A86259A863
16 May 20260A86493A865
7 May 20260A86632A867
30 May 20260A86829A869
20 June 20260A87074A871
28 May 20260A87228A873
2 June 20260A874110A875
16 June 20260A876210A877
19 June 20260A878224A879
28 April 20260A88042A881
13 May 20260A88252A883
9 June 20260A88478A885
3 July 20260A886130A887
26 April 20260A88841A889
4 July 20260A890214A891
15 May 20260A89240A893
18 June 20260A89470A895
22 May 20260A89691A897
7 June 20260A898117A899
28 May 20260A900175A901
19 June 20260A90272A903
22 April 20260A90438A905
18 May 20260A90694A907
5 July 20260A908138A909
13 May 20260A91053A911
21 May 20260A912171A913
4 June 20260A914178A915
17 June 20260A916215A917
23 May 20260A918102A919
2 May 20260A920119A921
1 July 20260A922124A923
29 April 20260A92444A925
11 June 20260A92679A927
13 June 20260A92880A929
29 June 20260A930128A931
28 June 20260A932192A933
19 June 20260A93473A935
18 June 20260A936220A937
24 May 20260A93861A939
29 April 20260A940155A941
10 June 20260A942190A943
5 May 20260A94410A945
23 May 20260A946131A947
26 June 20260A948216A949
28 June 20260A950193A951
1 July 20260A952125A953
18 April 20260A95425A955
26 June 20260A956188A957
12 May 20260A958132A959
19 April 20260A960151A961
15 May 20260A962162A963
15 April 20264A9648A965
16 June 20260A966140A967
13 May 20260A968159A969
15 June 20260A970207A971
3 July 20260A972211A973
19 June 20260A974141A975
26 May 20260A976173A977
12 May 20260A97888A979
25 June 20260A980115A981
9 May 20260A98251A983
13 June 20260A984199A985
22 June 20260A986179A987
26 May 20260A98864A989
4 June 20260A990165A991
24 April 20261A9923A993
8 May 20261A99411A995
18 May 20260A99698A997
22 June 20260A998200A999
11 May 20260A1000147A1001
12 May 20260A100289A1003
17 June 20260A1004135A1005
19 May 20260A100622A1007
9 June 20260A1008172A1009
14 June 20260A1010203A1011
23 May 20260A101260A1013
15 May 20260A101495A1015
6 July 20260A1016225A1017
10 May 20260A101848A1019
17 May 20260A102019A1021
12 June 20260A1022196A1023
5 June 20260A1024180A1025
1 July 20260A1026126A1027
10 June 20260A102862A1029
7 July 20260A1030227A1031
4 June 20260A1032185A1033
25 April 20260A10349A1035
27 April 20260A10364A1037
19 May 20260A103823A1039
14 June 20260A104066A1041
19 April 20261A1042152A1043
4 May 20260A10447A1045
16 June 20260A1046212A1047
27 April 20260A104877A1049
3 June 20260A1050177A1051
27 June 20260A1052118A1053
13 May 20260A1054160A1055
16 May 20260A1056163A1057
29 June 20260A105883A1059
11 May 20260A106017A1061
18 May 20260A106257A1063
20 May 20260A1064168A1065
20 June 20260A1066148A1067
3 June 20260A106875A1069
1 May 20260A107043A1071
5 July 20260A1072221A1073
19 June 20260A1074142A1075
24 May 20260A1076101A1077
18 May 20260A10781A1079
4 June 20260A108076A1081
19 June 20260A1082143A1083
4 June 20260A1084108A1085
10 May 20260A1086144A1087
5 June 20260A108831A1089
12 May 20260A1090157A1091
30 June 20260A1092201A1093
26 June 20260A1094217A1095
22 June 20260A1096111A1097
20 April 20260A1098153A1099
2 June 20260A1100112A1101
27 May 20260A110265A1103
15 April 20260A110435A1105
20 May 20260A110697A1107
19 May 20260A1108166A1109
1 July 20260A111081A1111
15 June 20260A1112208A1113
16 April 20264A111420A1115
27 May 20260A1116104A1117
26 May 20260A111867A1119
19 June 20260A1120145A1121
29 June 20260A1122121A1123
8 June 20260A1124186A1125
4 July 20260A1126136A1127
18 May 20260A112821A1129
16 June 20260A1130133A1131
16 May 20260A1132164A1133
27 May 20261A1134174A1135
12 June 20260A1136197A1137
12 June 20260A113833A1139
9 June 20260A1140189A1141
22 May 20260A114224A1143
10 May 20260A114416A1145
7 July 20260A1146228A1147
13 June 20260A1148134A1149
3 May 20261A115046A1151
24 May 20260A115263A1153
17 June 20260A1154149A1155
9 May 20260A115615A1157
12 May 20260A115892A1159
19 May 20260A1160167A1161
28 May 20260A1162176A1163
27 May 20260A116427A1165
17 April 20260A116637A1167
17 June 20260A116884A1169
8 May 20260A117012A1171
14 June 20260A1172204A1173
8 May 20260A117486A1175
27 June 20260A1176229A1177
11 May 20260A117855A1179
17 May 20260A118056A1181
30 June 20260A1182123A1183
14 June 20260A1184205A1185
27 April 20260A11865A1187
3 May 20260A1188122A1189
8 June 20260A1190120A1191
14 May 20260A119290A1193
25 June 20260A1194187A1195
15 April 20260A119636A1197
23 June 20260A1198113A1199
18 June 20260A1200222A1201
21 April 20260A1202154A1203
10 May 20260A120487A1205
16 June 20260A1206146A1207

9. Attributed quotations

Verbatim quotations, fifteen words at most, attributed; published sources only — never a citizen source. (3A357 quotation(s) selected)

“Silence is not an option.”
Andy Burnham, 11 May 2026 ·
“He added: “The Labour Party has a process for challenging a leader.”
Downing Street, 10 June 2026 ·
“All best wishes, THE RT HON SIR KEIR STARMER KCB KC MP”
Keir Starmer, 14 May 2026 ·